College Basketball Betting Systems

 admin

Points in the Paint vs. Paying attention to how a team makes most of their points can be. NCAAB ATS SYSTEM (#001 - CBB) 2.5.2012 Play against a Home Favorite of -10 points or more heavily inflated by the fact that they've covered 4, 5, or 6 of their last six games' spreads and they have a 40%.

College Basketball Power Index Betting System
By Adam, NCAA Basketball Handicapper, Predictem

There is a betting system for college basketball and it requires using data called the Basketball Power Index (or BPI). These stats are numbered 1 through 100, with 100 being the best, and are calculated using wins, pace of play, scores, venue, player injuries, and strength of schedule to basically quantify how good a team is. You can find them for the teams in the previous season on ESPN.com.

What we want to focus on is the average opponent’s power index (AOPR) for our given team(s). We do this by averaging out all of the Indexes of the opponents the team has played. Also called AOPR (average opponent player rating) or a variation of strength of schedule, this number can be found in a variety of places including sportsbooks, albeit they sometimes use a different index for the rating, but it will still be on the 1-100 scale so you can experiment with your sources.

We will also need the average points scored for and against the teams we are evaluating. These can be found in most places or easily calculated by adding up the scores and dividing by the number of games played.

The first step is to divide the higher AOPR of the teams in your matchup by the lower team’s AOPR. This produces in effect how much harder the higher team’s schedule has been and will be a small percentage. For instance, let’s say Rutgers has an AOPR of 90 and Villanova has an AOPR of 81. 90 divided by 81 equals 1.11, so Rutgers has an 11% harder schedule than Villanova.

Next, we take each team’s average points scored for and divide it by the median score in all of college basketball (use 71 points). If Rutgers scored an average of 68 points, we divide 68 by 71 to get .958. If Villanova scored an average score of 76 points, we divide 76 by 71 and get 1.07.

Now, since Rutgers had a harder schedule, we increase their rating we just calculated by 11% and get 1.064. For Villanova, we decrease their rating by 11% and get .952.

Finally, to get our anticipated points, we need average points allowed for each team. Then we multiply the preceding numbers by average points ALLOWED by the opponent we are looking at. For Rutgers, assume Villanova allows 70 points. We multiply 1.064 by 70 and get our predicted score of 74. Assuming Rutgers allows, say, 65 points, we find Villanova’s anticipated score by multiplying 65 by 1.07 to get 70 points. The anticipated score is Rutgers 74 - Villanova 70. But there is one last thing we must do, which is account for home team advantage. To do that, add 2 points to the home team and subtract 2 for the away team. If Rutgers is home, we can anticipate a score of Rutgers 76 - Villanova 68.

As with all betting systems, do not see it as foolproof, and never bet over your head. Also, they are more indicative of success the larger the sample size is, in both data, and bets made using the system. So it actually pays off (hopefully, literally) to place many bets at a time using the system to eliminate the variance of a small sample size.

So, here it is for quick reference, condensed for ease of reading:

Betting

1. Need to look up: Each team’s AOPR, average points for, average points against.

2. Team A will be team with higher AOPR than their opponent Team B.

3. Divide A’s AOPR by B’s to get percent advantage.

4. Divide A’s and B’s average points for by the league median (71).

College Basketball Betting Model

5. Take that number and increase A by the percent advantage (from step #3). Decrease B by the percent advantage (#3).

6. Multiply A’s outcome (from #5) with B’s average points against.

7. Multiply B’s outcome (from #5) with A’s average points against.

8. Add 2 points to the home team.

9. Subtract 2 points from the away team.

10. Always bet your basketball games at 5Dimes. Why you ask? Because they offer odds at -105, instead of the more expensive -110 that you’re paying your bookie! This will save you $5 for every $100 that you’re trying to win!

There are numerous betting systems for college basketball, all of which claim to help budding punters gain an edge, and given the number of players and information overload, this can be quite overwhelming.

With the increasing amount of games that are conducted all year round and the rising competition between the bettors themselves, it becomes a little difficult to predict who is going with heavy pockets and who is going to burn them.

College basketball markets have been a favourite betting place for gamblers alongside football and soccer. With almost 350 NCAA Division Team 1 for almost 30 conferences, the betting game on college basketball has become fiercely challenging. However, “the more bettors, the better” is a wordplay that would never grow old.

Thanks to some of the betting strategies, you are in for an exciting betting game.

College Basketball Betting Strategy

As mentioned earlier, there are dozens of betting systems for college basketball, and not all of them are created equal, most of them work for certain teams, or special events, when the underlying strategy can give you an upperhand, but delving right into these strategies without a proper understanding is a sure way to lose your bankroll.

We’ve tried to provide a brief overview on each of these popular systems, you can select the one you’re most comfortable with, and then research on them further before putting them to work.

Put Your Money On The Underdogs

Similar to most betting systems, bettos place bets on their favourites. This leads to an off-balance in the market in the favour of the underdogs. At times underdogs even get high handicaps due to this distortion.

Betting on a losing team is a highly popular basketball betting strategy. As many teams have a history changing the game in their favour in the second half of the game.

Only a couple of minutes of focused play and coach’s instructions in the break time empowers them to turn the tables. Whenever you are backing a losing team, you will undoubtedly bet on valued odds.

Bet On Over Points Total

This basketball strategy involves using the fourth quarter total points. Here’s how, most bookies include the points scored during the extra time as a part of the fourth quarter.

Therefore, if you come across a match that looks like a sureshot draw without major point difference between both the teams, you may want to bet on over points total. In this case, you will win in both situations, thanks to the free throws in the last few minutes.

Moneyline Bets

In moneyline bets, you pick which team will win the game outrightly. NCAA Basketball moneyline bets have the lowest betting limits and could be tougher to track than other bets.

However, their odds are not estimated accurately by the sport bookies, which means you can take this as your opportunity and strike it when it’s hot. The perks of moneyline is that they offer more significant returns than the others.

Bet On Total Points

The total number of points scored by teams in basketball varies depending on tournament and league. For example, a NBA league will have total points ranging from 180 to 220 while the European or college basketball tournaments can have a total variances between 120 to 160 points.

Here’s how you can succeed betting on basketball with total points. First step is to disregard average points as they can give you a distorted picture of the team’s performance.

Cbb trends

For example, the Los Angeles Lakers may have an average of 190 points based on their last five games. However, they may have scored 240 in one of those 5 games. This type of score changes the whole dynamic of average points.

Therefore, instead of relying on averages, a much smarter strategy is to look for how many times the team has gone over or under the given total points.

For instance, if the total points on board for Celtics is 190, figure out the number of times they have gone below 190 or above 190 points. Now you can bet on 190 total points if you notice a strong trend going under or over 190.

How To Create A College Basketball Betting Model?

Systems

The college basketball season takes you on a wild ride. Every year a handful of bettors turn wealthy while the rest spiral downwards as they get caught up in storylines and follow their intuitions.

While understanding the variables and momentum of the game pays off, you won’t go too far without analysing data.

Gather Statistical & Analytical Information

Statistical data which could be traced back to a few years can help punters understand the hows and whys of betting. You can checkout this data website

College Basketball Betting Systems 2019

Make Your Model

After you have collected statistical and analytical data history of the previous bets over the years, you would need to put them together in an excel sheet where you could keep a record of it.

All you have to do is make your own lines and gather numbers with the information you have. To understand more about this, you could take reference from basketball betting models that are available on YouTube.

College Basketball Handicapping Systems

Let’s face it, handicapping college basketball is a complex affair. From regular seasons to NCAA tournaments, there are literally hundreds of teams to keep an eye on.

College Basketball Betting Strategies

Relevant and complete information is all that college basketball betting is about. You could use it in your interest and fill your pockets with money and experience. One must realise that a little lack of information or misinformation could take a toll on your back balance.

College basketball betting systems

For winning college basketball bets, notice the odds and bring them to your advantage. You could also look into how home courts could benefit your bets and how you could improvise your plans accordingly.

There are also websites online where you can look up team rankings and predict how your bets could turn out to be. You can research prediction trackers and use them if they benefit you. Prediction trackers would not work for everyone so it is always better not to rely on a particular source of information completely.

College Basketball Live Betting Strategy

College hoops may look like a small sport but they have the highest numbers of live bettings every year. Although live bettings are a newly formed sport, they have gained the attraction of many punters.

To be successful, you would need to look up online sites that give relevant information about Live College Basketball bettings. Along with that, you will have suitable markets that offer what you require.

However College Hoops is very unpredictable and maybe live bettings would not bring back money to some of the punters. It is always wise to have informations about the match before you place any bet!

College Basketball Betting Systems Online

For example you know the team A is in great form but team B is winning. Then is worth to bet on team A to win. Good thing about live betting is that odds are changing every second.

Let’s say before the match the odd for team A to win was 1.70. If you wait for live game then if team B score first point or two, the odd for team A can go to 2+ and then you can place a bet on team A.

As with other sports, it is always better to be prepared rather than blindly placing your bets.

College Basketball Betting Systems For Sale

Betting Systems For College Basketball Final Words

A system for college basketball can be as simple as betting only on teams that are in better form with higher odd. There are a lot of systems you can create. All you need is past data to verify your system can bring the profits.

Read more articles.