Betting Odds Brett Kavanaugh
.but there's apparently a 29.4% chance that Rand Paul will vote NO on Kavanaugh - yeah, I'd bet everything I own and take out mortgages for additional cash to bet on that NOT happening. Brett Kavanaugh views on gambling, particularly sports betting are well-documented. In fact, during hearings prior to his confirmation, Democrats claimed that Kavanaugh past scholarship, opinions and statements on gambling make him ineligible for the Supreme Court position.
Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who went through the mother of all wringers in his confirmation last year, is making headlines again.
Odds Brett Kavanaugh Will Be Confirmed as the Next Supreme Court Justice.Odds have changed to YES (+105) and NO (-135) Kavanaugh is being accused of attempted rape from when he was a teenager, and his accuser is expected to testify this week. Now a second accuser claims that Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her when he was at Yale. PredictIT chart shows odds improving on likelihood that Judge Brett Kavanaugh will receive the votes to get confirmed for the Supreme Court by the U.S. Meanwhile, you’d get 16 cents to. Online sportsbooks are offering odds against US Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh being impeached or tendering his resignation before the end of 2019. Photo by Ninian Reid (flickr). Is US Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh going to be impeached or will he resign before the end of 2019?
Of course, despite what the big red “Breaking News” tags on every media outlet across the country want you to believe, the newest Kavanaugh accusations aren’t actually new. It turns out that they were known to investigators – and the media – throughout the justice’s original vetting process.
In fact, the alleged victim in the case has repeatedly claimed to have no recollection of the event in question. And despite being continuously harassed by investigators and reporters for a solid year, she’s made it clear that she has no interest in speaking with them.
Helpfully, partisan political operatives have been more than happy to fill in the gaps of what supposedly happened at some teenage party a lifetime ago.
But as ever, history repeats, and this week’s moral outrage – real or fake – is palpable on both sides of the aisle.
As such, sportsbooks are getting in on the action. Of course, these books don’t really care what Kavanaugh did or didn’t do. They only care about giving an eager public the opportunity to bet on the outcome of the latest full-court impeachment press. (Incidentally, “impeachment” seems well-positioned to be the American Dialect Society’s 2019 Word of the Year.)
BetOnline has odds on whether or not Kavanaugh will be impeached by the end of the year, as well as whether or not he’ll just resign to get away from the unending libelous mudslinging of modern political theater.
Will Brett Kavanaugh be impeached by the end of 2019?
- Yes +1000
- No -2500
Will Brett Kavanaugh resign by the end of 2019?
- Yes +500
- No -1000
While the Kavanaugh scandal isn’t new – and though no new information has been unearthed in this conveniently-timed redux – the larger hope was that the public had simply forgotten the events of last year and would thus embrace the new media hysterics.
After all, it’s been just shy of a year since Kavanaugh took his place as an Associate Supreme Court Justice, and the madding crowd has a short memory.
So now, Kavanaugh is facing recycled accusations about various unprovable things that may or may not have happened at some undefined point a long time ago.
The bombshell (or dud, depending upon your perspective) reported by the New York Times was quickly proved to be an unethical smear job, leading to retracted tweets and “updated” articles (i.e. articles with salient, narrative-breaking details edited back in).
Kavanaugh, ironically, has been reliably centrist or center-left with his votes during his young career on the Supreme Court bench. Nevertheless, he remains one of the chief bogeymen among the left-leaning media and the Democratic side of Congress.
As in 2018, President Donald Trump quickly came to Kavanaugh’s defense this time around, issuing a series of tweets on the subject. Trump, obviously, is unafraid to defend his allies. Their scandals are unlikely to stick to the Teflon Don.
Commence #TrumpTweetStorm:
Brett Kavanaugh should start suing people for libel, or the Justice Department should come to his rescue. The lies being told about him are unbelievable. False Accusations without recrimination. When does it stop? They are trying to influence his opinions. Can’t let that happen!
Betting Odds Brett Kavanaugh Wall Street Journal
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019
Can’t let Brett Kavanaugh give Radical Left Democrat (Liberal Plus) Opinions based on threats of Impeaching him over made up stories (sound familiar?), false allegations, and lies. This is the game they play. Fake and Corrupt News is working overtime! #ProtectKavanaugh
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019
“The New York Times walks back report on Kavanaugh assault claim.” @foxandfriends The one who is actually being assaulted is Justice Kavanaugh – Assaulted by lies and Fake News! This is all about the LameStream Media working with their partner, the Dems.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019
“What’s happening to Justice Kavanaugh is a disgrace. This guy is not a good man, he is a great man. He has to go to his church with his family while these terrible reports are being written about him, a disgrace!” Dan Bongino @foxandfriends
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019
Just Out: “Kavanaugh accuser doesn’t recall incident.” @foxandfriends DO YOU BELIEVE WHAT THESE HORRIBLE PEOPLE WILL DO OR SAY. They are looking to destroy, and influence his opinions – but played the game badly. They should be sued!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019
And so on.
Meanwhile, as Trump offers outspoken support of his SCOTUS nominee, he’s also playing to his base in a political fight of his own. As with Kavanaugh, impeachment is the issue of the day.
However, after former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski was aimlessly and embarrassingly grilled on Capitol Hill this week, Trump’s impeachment odds have grown considerably longer than they were before.
As expected, the week’s events have had no appreciable negative effect on Trump’s presidential election odds, with the incumbent still sitting high atop the betting boards.
2020 Presidential Election Odds
Via BetOnline
- Donald Trump +100
- Elizabeth Warren +400
- Joe Biden +700
- Bernie Sanders +900
- Andrew Yang +1200
- Kamala Harris +2000
- Pete Buttigieg +3300
- Tulsi Gabbard +5000
- Cory Booker +6600
- Beto O’Rourke +6600
- Amy Klobuchar +10000
- Mike Pence +10000
- Mark Sanford +10000
- Tom Steyer +10000
- Julian Castro +15000
- Jay Inslee +15000
- Marianne Williamson +15000
- Michael Bennet +25000
- Bill de Blasio +25000
- John Delaney +25000
- Tim Ryan +25000
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 07:53 PM
Last edited Tue Sep 25, 2018, 08:24 PM - Edit history (1) I dont beleive its a secret that I enjoy wagering from time to time. The Scotus vote is no exception. The latest odds favor confirmation. Read about it here; https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/brett-kavanaugh-confirmation-chances-odds-supreme-court-updated-scotus-trump-september-21-2018 https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/news/entertainment-props/odds-brett-kavanaugh-will-be-confirmed-as-the-next-supreme-court-justice/ Anyone else putting down a wee bit of coin? Covering both sides? Here is the place to do it. https://mybookie.ag/sportsbook/business-politics/ |
6 replies, 1719 views
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| Sep 2018 | #1 | |
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Betting Odds Brett Kavanaugh Murder
Response to Kilgore (Original post)
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 08:02 PM
1. I don't know much about odds...
...but there's apparently a 29.4% chance that Rand Paul will vote NO on Kavanaugh -- yeah, I'd bet everything I own and take out mortgages for additional cash to bet on that NOT happening. |
Response to Kilgore (Original post)
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 08:10 PM
2. I bet the whole planet Senator Susan Collins approves to confirm Kcraven-naughty too.
Response to Kilgore (Original post)
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 08:28 PM
3. This Is a Railroad Job
I’d put the odds at $-650 he gets approved. McConnell, Assley, and the GOP Senators don’t give two shits about anything but getting this done. The SCOTUS new session starts Monday and they want the 5-4 majority from Day 1 so there’s no chance they don’t get the rulings they want. Items up for review include the future of the ACA, voting rights including gerrymandering, double jeopardy (State v Federal charges) and other issues that have the right wing drooling; Not to mention the Unitary Presidency and DT’s future. |
Response to Kilgore (Original post)
Tue Sep 25, 2018, 08:44 PM
4. I have been wagering on Predictit
I took Yes on Kavanaugh being the next confirmed Supreme Court Justice. I have many prices and they average 44 cents to win 56 cents. So I have it as an underdog price, which I consider a major bargain. I took advantage of the overreaction the other night when the price dipped below 40. It is now at 54 which I believe is still too low https://www.predictit.org/Contract/12469/Will-Brett-Kavanaugh-be-the-next-confirmed-Supreme-Court-justice#data I also need Ford to testify by Thursday. I played that for a lesser amount, also at 44 https://www.predictit.org/Contract/12508/Will-Christine-Blasey-Ford-publicly-testify-before-Senate-Judiciary-by-Sept-28#data |
Response to Awsi Dooger (Reply #4)
Wed Sep 26, 2018, 03:42 PM
5. I like your strategy
My potential willings are committed to steaks and wine with the wife |
Response to Kilgore (Reply #5)
Wed Sep 26, 2018, 03:54 PM
6. Bouncing all over the place today
Kavanaugh dropped below 50 and remains there but I don't think it got to 44, which is my average price. I might have played too much on that confirmation as opposed to Ford simply testifying tomorrow, which obviously holds far fewer variables. Ford to testify is up to 71 cents. This is weird for me because Predictit actually shows you a cumulative Gain/Loss atop the screen based on whether the price has moved in favor of your position or against it. I was huge positive but now much less so. I'm not used to that type of dollarly evaluation before kickoff. In Las Vegas it was more...okay I got -6.5 and now it's up to -7.5 The comments on Predictit are incredibly partisan. That's what surprised me. I thought it would be more like a betting atmosphere with people evaluating the market and trying to make money. There is some of that but mostly it is a political discussion with everybody slanting in their preferred direction. Lots of ultra right wing nutcases who indeed seem to think we're on the verge of a red wave. I don't mind laughing at them in reply. |
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